Analyst / planner

Simple forecast builder

Immediate result: A transparent forecast with method, formulas, base, high and low cases.

Problem it solvesTeams need a forecast by Friday and either guess or overbuild a model.

Add this skill to

You paste

Monthly orders Oct 2025–Sep 2026, forecast Oct–Dec 2026

You get

History: +3% a month, with a Diwali spike (Oct–Nov ≈ 1.4× normal).

Method: seasonal naive × trend — simple and explainable.

Base Nov 2026: 18,900 · low 16,800 · high 21,000

About this skill

About Simple forecast builder

Teams that need a forecast by Friday either guess or build a model nobody understands. This skill describes the trend and seasonality in your history, picks a simple, explainable method — moving average, growth rate or seasonal naive — and says why. It produces base, high and low forecasts with formulas you can paste into a spreadsheet, and lists the assumptions that would change the numbers most. It always gives a range, never a single certain figure, so the forecast can be planned around honestly. To use it, paste the skill into your assistant and send historical monthly numbers (at least 12 months ideally) and what you need to forecast.

Simple forecast builder AI skill for Analyst / planner: you paste "Monthly orders Oct 2025–Sep 2026, forecast Oct–Dec 2026" and get "History: +3% a month, with a Diwali spike (Oct–Nov ≈ 1.4× normal)."
Simple forecast builder — example input and the first lines it returns. Works in ChatGPT, Claude and Gemini.
Job profile
Data & analytics · Analyst / planner
Works in
ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Copilot, Claude Code
Format
Agent Skills (SKILL.md)
Price
Free, no sign-up
Install instructions

Copy, paste, send

  1. Cold email writerCopy skillCopied ✓1 Copy the skillPress Copy skill.
  2. ANY AI ASSISTANTSKILLPaste here, then press Enter2 Paste it into a new chatChatGPT, Claude, Gemini or Copilot.
  3. ANY AI ASSISTANT3 Send your inputSend historical monthly numbers (at least 12 months ideally) and what you need to forecast.
The skill — paste this into your AI assistant
# Skill: Simple forecast builder

You are running the "Simple forecast builder" skill for me. I work as: Analyst / planner. What I need from you: a transparent forecast with method, formulas, base, high and low cases.

## When I send you historical monthly numbers (at least 12 months ideally) and what I need to forecast
1. Describe the trend and seasonality in the history.
2. Pick a simple method (moving average, growth rate, seasonal naive) and say why.
3. Produce base, high and low forecasts with formulas you can paste into a spreadsheet.
4. List the assumptions that would change the forecast most.

## Reply in this format
- What the history shows
- Method
- Forecast table (base/high/low)
- Spreadsheet formulas
- Key assumptions

## Rules
- Never present a forecast as certain; always give a range.
- Use only the facts I give you; mark anything you had to assume with [ASSUMPTION].
- If something essential is missing, ask me one short question, then continue.
- No preamble or filler: start with the result.

Confirm you're ready in one line, then wait for me to send historical monthly numbers (at least 12 months ideally) and what I need to forecast.

Then sendHistorical monthly numbers (at least 12 months ideally) and what you need to forecast. For example: Monthly orders Oct 2025–Sep 2026, forecast Oct–Dec 2026

ChatGPT

  1. Fastest: paste the skill as your first message in a new chat, then send your input.
  2. To keep it: open a Project, choose Instructions (or Settings → Personalization → Custom instructions for every chat) and paste it there.
  3. To share it with a team: create a custom GPT and paste the skill into its Instructions.
  4. In the Codex app: copy the skill's folder into ~/.codex/skills/ (or Customize → Skills → Add → Create skill).

Claude

  1. Fastest: paste the skill as your first message in a new chat, then send your input.
  2. To keep it: create a Project, open Project instructions and paste the skill.
  3. As a Claude Skill: download the skill's ZIP, then in Claude open Settings → Skills → Add → Upload skill and choose the file.

Gemini

  1. Fastest: paste the skill as your first message in a new chat, then send your input.
  2. To keep it: open Gems → New Gem, paste the skill into Instructions and save.

Microsoft Copilot

  1. Fastest: paste the skill as your first message, then send your input.
  2. In Microsoft 365 Copilot, save it as a prompt or paste it into an agent's instructions to reuse it.

Any other assistant

  1. Paste the skill as the system prompt or first message in any chat assistant (Perplexity, Meta AI, DeepSeek, Mistral, local models).
  2. Coding agents that read the Agent Skills format (SKILL.md) can load the downloaded file from their skills folder.

Install it permanently

Upload it to Claude, add it to ChatGPT's Codex app, clone it into Claude Code, or download the SKILL.md for any agent. Full guide with screenshots →

Download the ZIP and upload it in Claude. Claude then uses the skill on its own whenever a request matches.

Download ZIP

Quick setup

  1. In Claude, open Settings → Skills (under Customize).
  2. Click Add → Upload skill.
  3. Choose the ZIP — don't unzip it — and make sure the skill is switched on.
Claude Settings with Skills selected under Customize, and the Add menu open showing Upload skill, Create a skill, Create with Claude and Record your screen

Repositoryscienceofapps.com/skills/ai-skills.git · all 200 skills, one folder each, plain git over HTTPS

What it does

The steps it follows

  1. Describe the trend and seasonality in the history.
  2. Pick a simple method (moving average, growth rate, seasonal naive) and say why.
  3. Produce base, high and low forecasts with formulas you can paste into a spreadsheet.
  4. List the assumptions that would change the forecast most.
What you get back

The reply format

  • What the history shows
  • Method
  • Forecast table (base/high/low)
  • Spreadsheet formulas
  • Key assumptions

Rules it never breaks

  • Never present a forecast as certain; always give a range.
  • Uses only the facts you give it and marks assumptions.
FAQs

Questions about Simple forecast builder

What does the Simple forecast builder skill do?

Teams need a forecast by Friday and either guess or overbuild a model. The skill fixes that: a transparent forecast with method, formulas, base, high and low cases.

How do I install Simple forecast builder in ChatGPT, Claude or Gemini?

Copy the skill and paste it as the first message of a new chat, then send your input. To keep it, paste it into a ChatGPT Project or custom GPT, a Claude Project or a Gemini Gem, or upload the SKILL.md file as a Claude Skill.

What do I send Simple forecast builder after installing it?

Send historical monthly numbers (at least 12 months ideally) and what you need to forecast. If something essential is missing, the skill asks you one short question and then continues.

Is the Simple forecast builder skill free?

Yes. It's free to copy, use and adapt, with no sign-up, and works in the free versions of ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini and Copilot.

More for data & analytics
Product analyst

Event tracking plan

ProblemAnalytics is full of badly named events nobody trusts, and key actions aren't tracked at all.

You paste

Food delivery app: search, add to cart, checkout, payment, rating

You get

search_performed — on results load — {query_length, results_count, filters_used}

payment_failed — gateway error — {method: upi|card|cod, error_code}

Exclude: delivery address, phone, typed search text.

Immediate resultA tracking plan: events, properties, naming convention and the questions each answers.

Data / business analyst

SQL from plain English

ProblemSimple business questions wait days in the data team's queue because nobody else can write SQL.

You paste

BigQuery · monthly active users for 2026 · events(user_id, event_name, event_ts)

You get

MAU = distinct users with any event in the calendar month (UTC).

SELECT DATE_TRUNC(DATE(event_ts), MONTH) AS month, COUNT(DISTINCT user_id) AS mau FROM events WHERE event_ts >= '2026-01-01' GROUP BY month ORDER BY month;

Sanity check: no month should exceed total sign-ups to date.

Immediate resultA correct, commented SQL query for your database, with the assumptions it makes spelled out.

Analyst or Excel / Sheets user

Spreadsheet formula helper

ProblemYou know what you want the spreadsheet to do but not the formula, and nested IFs break.

You paste

Google Sheets: total of column C where column A is 'Mumbai' and column B is in October 2026

You get

=SUMIFS(C:C, A:A, "Mumbai", B:B, ">="&DATE(2026,10,1), B:B, "<"&DATE(2026,11,1))

Each pair is a condition: city = Mumbai, date ≥ 1 Oct and < 1 Nov.

Error #VALUE! usually means column B holds text, not dates.

Immediate resultThe exact formula for Excel or Google Sheets, explained, with an example of the output.

Free PDF · 74 pages · 2 editions

The Laws of UX, in one field guide

60 research-backed principles in 6 categories — what each one means, why it works on the human brain and how to use it on your own screens. Written by Sushant Singh, founder of Science of Apps, who has scaled consumer apps to lacs of users and spent 10+ years leading product across startups and digital businesses in the US, EU & India.

Pick your edition
Free. No card, no paywall — just your email.
Free PDF · 74 pages

Get Laws of UX by email

Choose your edition

You’ll also get occasional UX psychology tips. Unsubscribe anytime. Privacy policy

Free PDF · 90 pages · 2 editions

100+ Subscription Paywalls, decoded

110 real paywalls from top apps, taken apart, rated out of 5 and decoded with the Laws of UX — plus the frameworks, copy and checklists to ship your own. By Sushant Singh, founder of Science of Apps.

  • 110 paywalls rated
  • 34 Laws of UX
  • 12 frameworks

Which paywall scored 4.8 out of 5, and which scored 2.6? It’s all inside.

Pick your edition
Free. No card, no paywall — just your email.
Free PDF · 90 pages

Get 100+ Paywalls, Decoded by email

Choose your edition

You’ll also get occasional UX psychology tips. Unsubscribe anytime. Privacy policy